Israel’s apparent strike on Iran was limited, but sent a clear warning to the country’s leadership. Tehran has a history of animosity towards Israel, supporting anti-Israel militant groups. Tensions have calmed, but the shadow war between the two countries is escalating. The recent surge in tensions began with an attack by Hamas on Israel, followed by Israeli bombings in Gaza. Iran responded to an Israeli air strike on its consulate in Damascus with a direct attack on Israel, which was mostly thwarted.
Israel’s strike targeted a radar system at an airbase in Isfahan, near the Natanz uranium enrichment plant. Israel’s Mossad agency is believed to have carried out sabotage operations in Iran. Iranian officials downplayed the strike while Israel’s choice of target indicated its presence in Iran. Analysts believe further retaliation may occur, potentially escalating tensions.
The current phase of escalation may be over, but the shadow war continues. Both Iran and Israel may engage in unattributable operations and sabotage, raising the stakes of conflict. The situation remains precarious, with the risk of open conflict between the two foes ever present.